Keppel Corp Stock - Keppel Corporation Limited (BN4)

The following information on Keppel Corporation Limited (BN4) are my own notes for reference to keep myself informed of the companies that I am vested in.

20 April 2018 

Mistake for selling @ 7.90 (bought @ 7.68) as keep looking at the price action and forgot about the technical indicator.  Reminder to trade according to indicator without emotion.

24 November 2017 
Price Crosses Moving Average (200-week)

Long-Term Bullish
Volume 21,706,100
Close Price 7.750
Pattern Duration 1 day

The price is generally in an established trend (bullish or bearish) for the time horizon represented by the moving average period (21, 50 or 200 bars).  Moving averages are used to smooth out the volatility or "noise" in the price series, to make it easier to discover the underlying trend. By plotting the average price over the last several bars, the line is less "jerky" than plotting the actual prices. A bullish event is generated when the price crosses above the moving average, and in this state, the price is likely in an established uptrend. The opposite is true when the price crosses below the moving average, triggered a bearish event.

Based on 17 February 2017 closing price of 6.64
Price to Book value = 1.034
Price to Earning = 15.478
Dividend Yield = 3.01%

Technically, KepCorp is on a uptrend.
Resistance 1 and 2 are 6.58 and 6.67
Support 1 and 2 are 6.31 and 6.15

Earning by Different Segments
Segment 2016 2015
1) Offshore and Marine (largest segment that typically 
contributes about two-thirds of group revenue)
29 millions 482 millions
2) Infrastructure 99 millions 197 millions
3) Property (now accounts for 50-70% of the group’s 
bottom line and continue to enjoy promising property 
sales in China and Vietnam.  Provide provide some
cushion to the moderated O&M income)
620 millions 661 millions
4) Investments 36 millions 185 millions

Important Highlights for whole of 2016
1) Revenue was down 34.3% to 6.77 billion.
2) Profit down 48.6% to 783.9 million.
3) Earnings per share down 48.6% from 2015.
4) Free cash flow was a negative 136 million.
5) Has 2.09 billion in cash and total borrowings of 9.05 billion.
6) Property is the only bright spot which give them the biggest profits of 620 million.
7) Final total dividend of 0.20 per share which is 41% less than 2015 of 0.34 per share.

Links reference for notes:
4 Key Things to Know About Keppel Corporation Limited’s 2016 Dividend
3 Things Investors Should Know From Keppel Corporation Limited’s 2016 Full Year Results

CLSA Reports Highlights
1) Current order Books are low but not lower than it was in the previous lull period at 2010.
2) Petrobras is at a good financial position and thus may start making orders to Keppel and Sembcorp Marine. There are legal bottlenecks that only a few companies can build rigs for the pre-salt oil drilling program. The competitors for our local companies for Petrobras's orders have scaled down significantly, so we have the cost saving advantage if we were to bid for any upcoming orders. 
3) Floating LNG (FLNG) is a potential development for both Keppel and Sembcorp. For Sembcorp, the Gravifloat technology will be the key driver in winning contracts. 
4) The articles doesn't state many downside risks however. I believe that the concentration risk towards Petrobras is one concern. If Petrobras has a slow recovery or ends up ordering from a different company, we could see order books stay stagnant for a while.

Links reference for notes:
Offshore and Marine Sector Over Weight

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